Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.062950 0.074430 0.087291 0.102750 0.120813 0.141234 0.166059
2025-05-11 0.045716 0.060650 0.079267 0.104108 0.136311 0.176567 0.230629
2025-05-18 0.036604 0.053103 0.075439 0.107725 0.153020 0.214099 0.302480
2025-05-25 0.028571 0.044703 0.068111 0.104290 0.158491 0.236297 0.355994
2025-06-01 0.023696 0.039592 0.064084 0.104188 0.167744 0.263971 0.419903
2025-06-08 0.019756 0.035035 0.059889 0.102755 0.174197 0.287624 0.480108
2025-06-15 0.017405 0.032572 0.058481 0.105295 0.186907 0.322070 0.561011
2025-06-22 0.014907 0.029360 0.055223 0.104056 0.192866 0.345890 0.626941
2025-06-29 0.012674 0.026211 0.051526 0.101360 0.195685 0.364377 0.685510
2025-07-06 0.010760 0.023319 0.047816 0.097996 0.196649 0.379410 0.739294
2025-07-13 0.009766 0.022092 0.047077 0.100145 0.208131 0.414663 0.833966
2025-07-20 0.008767 0.020675 0.045731 0.100845 0.216776 0.445396 0.923318
2025-07-27 0.007843 0.019289 0.044293 0.101256 0.225117 0.476945 1.018921
2025-08-03 0.007118 0.018233 0.043411 0.102741 0.235924 0.514738 1.131707
2025-08-10 0.006631 0.017653 0.043489 0.106342 0.251722 0.564522 1.274933
2025-08-17 0.005750 0.015939 0.040694 0.102955 0.251525 0.580414 1.347764
2025-08-24 0.005181 0.014918 0.039382 0.102855 0.258781 0.613203 1.461052
2025-08-31 0.004614 0.013794 0.037641 0.101440 0.262716 0.638949 1.561305
2025-09-07 0.004303 0.013322 0.037477 0.103950 0.276446 0.688526 1.721608
2025-09-14 0.003860 0.012386 0.035956 0.102725 0.280712 0.716366 1.833777
2025-09-21 0.003412 0.011352 0.034004 0.100063 0.280938 0.734496 1.924512
2025-09-28 0.002996 0.010330 0.031925 0.096740 0.278979 0.746996 2.002710
2025-10-05 0.002809 0.010004 0.031787 0.098862 0.291946 0.798402 2.184360